{"id":140,"date":"2016-07-27T13:25:56","date_gmt":"2016-07-27T17:25:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.hostedpools.com\/pickology\/?p=140"},"modified":"2018-07-31T13:31:08","modified_gmt":"2018-07-31T17:31:08","slug":"2016-nfl-survivor-pool-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hostedpools.com\/pickology\/analysis\/2016-nfl-survivor-pool-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"2016 NFL Survivor Pool Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"

NFL training camps kick\u00a0off this week, so it’s\u00a0a good time to start looking at the regular season schedule and planning out your picks to win your Survivor Pool\u00a0in\u00a02016<\/a>. \u00a0Doing so will give you a leg up on many of your competitors, many of whom don’t think beyond the next week, often leaving themselves in tough situations with limited options, as a result. I’ve used this exercise to help me win\u00a0multiple Survivor Pools over the past 5 seasons. \u00a0I don’t always stick with my original picks, but it’s good to have a plan, not just to survive the first few weeks, but to at least get to a point where you can cash in via a split or by taking the whole pot.<\/p>\n

We have managed to find a solid line up of picks for the entire season, without a single road game or an opposing team coming off a bye, and with the closest spread being 5 points. \u00a0Weeks 8 and 12 appear\u00a0to be the toughest at first glance, so we are picking\u00a0those, then\u00a0working outwards from there. \u00a0We are purposely leaving\u00a0out Seattle and Green Bay, so you can use them\u00a0as a replacement team in any of a number of weeks. \u00a0Both teams have 5 weeks as favourites of\u00a07 or more points, with another 2 or 3 where they are by at least 5.<\/p>\n

Note: All spreads are\u00a0the initial offerings from sports books, and are subject to change.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

The Survivor Pool Picks<\/h3>\n

Week 1 – Philadelphia (-7.5) vs Cleveland<\/strong> – While we generally avoid new coaching staffs, it’s tough not to pick against Cleveland early on as well. \u00a0It’s the only game all season Philly is a heavy favourite. \u00a0If you don’t use them here, you likely won’t use them.<\/p>\n

Week 2 – Arizona (-9) vs Tampa Bay<\/strong> – Arizona has several pickable games on the schedule, but we like them in this Week 2 match up with Tampa heading West for their 2nd straight road game to start the season.<\/p>\n

Week 3 – Indianapolis (-5.5) vs San Diego<\/strong> – Week 3 is probably the best\u00a0week on the schedule for large spreads. \u00a0Four teams are favoured by at least a touchdown, and another 3 are at least 5 points. \u00a0I went down the board a bit for this one, in hopes that a large portion of teams get knocked out following a huge favourite.<\/p>\n

Week 4 – Washington (-7.5) vs Cleveland<\/strong> – Another NFC East team with Cleveland at home being their only game worth picking.<\/p>\n

Week 5 – Carolina (-10) vs Tampa Bay<\/strong> – After Week 1, Carolina is going to be a popular team in the early going. \u00a0I wouldn’t be surprised if close to 75% of entries have used them by this game.<\/p>\n

Week 6 – Buffalo (-7) vs San Francisco<\/strong> – This may be a good week to drop Seattle in as well, to save Buffalo for late season home games against the Browns and Fins.<\/p>\n

Week 7 – Cincinnati (-11.5) vs Cleveland<\/strong> – Another division game, and Hue knows the Bengals, but there is too much talent in Cinci.<\/p>\n

Week 8 – Denver (-7) vs San Diego<\/strong> – The only other decent options in Week 8 are road games. \u00a0Denver is as close to a must start as there is at this point.<\/p>\n

Week 9 – Minnesota (-6.5) vs Detroit<\/strong> – Detroit outdoors is generally not a good thing. \u00a0 Throw in some potentially poor November weather and it gets worse.<\/p>\n

Week 10 – Baltimore (-8.5) vs Cleveland<\/strong> – The Browns may be playing for the #1 pick by this point.<\/p>\n

Week 11 – Kansas City (-7) vs Tampa Bay<\/strong> – I am\u00a0surprised how many times odds makers list\u00a0KC as 7+ point favourites. \u00a0Alex Smith as your QB isn’t usually conducive to a number of big wins.<\/p>\n

Week 12 – Miami (-5) vs San Francisco<\/strong> – This is going to be the toughest week to pick of the season (if you had to pick now). \u00a0Five points is the largest spread, and looking long term, this is probably the game\u00a0I have the most confidence in right now. \u00a0San Fran heading east after 5 straight weeks where they only go as far as Arizona.<\/p>\n

Week 13 – Pittsburgh (-7.5) vs NY Giants<\/strong> – This could be where you use Green Bay (home to Houston) as well. \u00a0Will greatly depend on how the 4 teams involved are playing at the time.<\/p>\n

Week 14 – New England (-9) vs Baltimore<\/strong> – Some of the early season New England spreads will obviously change with Jimmy Garappollo under center, so you are better of to leave them for\u00a0one of their later match ups.<\/p>\n

Week 15 – Atlanta (-5) vs San Francisco or Dallas (-6) vs Tampa Bay<\/strong> – Late in the year, it’s good to have options. \u00a0Obviously, things can and will change throughout the season, so there may be other games worth picking.<\/p>\n

Week 16 – Dallas (-5) vs Detroit or Los Angeles (-5.5) vs San Francisco<\/strong> – It could be a real dog-fight between Cleveland and San Fran for the most picks against this season.<\/p>\n

Week 17 – TBD<\/strong> – Most survivor pools will be long over by Week 17, but if yours gets to that point, you’ll have to take a look at what you have available as well as who still has something to play for and pick accordingly.<\/p>\n

One thing I still want to do before the season, is to look at the full impact that Thursday games have on teams on and after the short weeks, and incorporate that into my own selections.<\/p>\n

There you have it. \u00a0Hopefully this helps some of you in planning your 2016 Survivor Pool picks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

NFL training camps kick\u00a0off this week, so it’s\u00a0a good time to start looking at the regular season schedule and planning out your picks to win your Survivor Pool\u00a0in\u00a02016. \u00a0Doing so will give you a leg up on many of your competitors, many of whom don’t think beyond the next week, often leaving themselves in tough […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[5],"tags":[29,6,8,30,17,28],"class_list":{"0":"post-140","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-analysis","7":"tag-football-pool","8":"tag-nfl","9":"tag-office-pool","10":"tag-picks","11":"tag-strategy","12":"tag-survivor","13":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6CptU-2g","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":157,"url":"https:\/\/hostedpools.com\/pickology\/manage-pool\/playoff-football-pools-new-for-2016\/","url_meta":{"origin":140,"position":0},"title":"Playoff Football Pools – New for 2016!","author":"hpadmin","date":"December 28, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Due to a number of requests, HostedPools has added\u00a0a pair of popular playoff football pool options for the 2016 NFL playoffs. \u00a0We have been running pools of these types off-site for a number of years, and finally were able to add them to the site, thanks to some of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Manage a Pool"","block_context":{"text":"Manage a Pool","link":"https:\/\/hostedpools.com\/pickology\/category\/manage-pool\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":37,"url":"https:\/\/hostedpools.com\/pickology\/strategies\/win-your-survivor-football-pool\/","url_meta":{"origin":140,"position":1},"title":"Win Your Survivor Football Pool","author":"hpadmin","date":"August 6, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Are you tired of just donating to your Survivor Football Pool? 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